Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 51.2% vs Larkin 54.1% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 10-10 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 65.6%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 65.0%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 51.1%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Cirelli
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
10
(20 meetings)
10
10
Cirelli
Larkin
Last 10: Cirelli 5-5 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
6
Cirelli
Larkin
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Cirelli
Larkin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
8
2
Cirelli
Larkin
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (585)
53.6% (886)
-1.5%
Power Play
56.8% (74)
59.3% (317)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (172)
48.7% (152)
-2.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Cirelli is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (504).
Cirelli shoots left. Larkin is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Larkin
Home
52.4% (462)
56.6% (700)
Away
50.1% (369)
52.1% (655)
By Period
Cirelli
Larkin
P1
50.7%
55.4%
P2
49.6%
54.7%
P3
53.3%
52.7%
OT
61.5%
59.1%
Final 5 min
49.5%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
51.4%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 11:10 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 11:04 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 10:47 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 07:54 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 07:33 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 07:27 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 03:06 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 02:41 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 02:33 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 02:16 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 17:04 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 12:02 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 03:52 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 02:44 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 15:19 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 14:52 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 06:16 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |