Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Cirelli wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 46.9% vs Sturm 52.5% (-6.5%)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 73.6%
Defensive zone
Sturm 66.8%
Neutral zone
Sturm 53.3%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Cirelli
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (737)
54.0% (480)
-7.6%
Power Play
57.6% (99)
28.6% (7)
+29.0%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (112)
50.0% (102)
-12.5%
On power play, Cirelli has a +29.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Cirelli is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Cirelli shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Sturm
Home
46.7% (478)
54.0% (287)
Away
46.4% (470)
52.0% (302)
By Period
Cirelli
Sturm
P1
46.6%
53.5%
P2
48.6%
51.0%
P3
44.3%
55.1%
OT
44.4%
20.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
46.5%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
53.0%