Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 50.1% vs Sturm 57.1% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 73.9%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 73.5%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 72.1%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 72.6%
72.6%
27.4%
Cirelli
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Cirelli
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Cirelli
Sturm
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
2
Cirelli
Sturm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (1,052)
62.1% (356)
-12.2%
Power Play
54.9% (82)
75.0% (4)
-20.1%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (158)
38.7% (62)
+10.0%
On power play, Sturm has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Cirelli is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (830).
Cirelli shoots left. Sturm is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Sturm
Home
46.7% (649)
61.8% (191)
Away
53.5% (643)
56.3% (231)
By Period
Cirelli
Sturm
P1
50.1%
58.0%
P2
51.1%
57.9%
P3
48.5%
60.6%
Final 5 min
49.7%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
50.1%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 15:30 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |