Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Cirelli wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 46.9% vs Zacha 50.1% (-3.6%)
Offensive zone
Zacha 55.7%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 65.1%
Neutral zone
Zacha 51.2%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Cirelli
Zacha
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (737)
48.0% (296)
-1.6%
Power Play
57.6% (99)
61.0% (59)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (112)
50.0% (22)
-12.5%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Cirelli is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Cirelli shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (217).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Zacha
Home
46.7% (478)
48.9% (223)
Away
46.4% (470)
51.9% (154)
By Period
Cirelli
Zacha
P1
46.6%
47.9%
P2
48.6%
48.3%
P3
44.3%
54.3%
OT
44.4%
44.4%
Final 5 min
50.6%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
46.5%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
50.1%