Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.3% vs 49.1%). Look for Cirelli on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.4% vs Zacha 49.1% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Cirelli leads 20-10 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 54.1%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 62.5%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 55.9%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Cirelli
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
10
(30 meetings)
20
10
Cirelli
Zacha
Last 10: Cirelli 6-4 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
4
5
Cirelli
Zacha
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
8
1
Cirelli
Zacha
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
8
4
Cirelli
Zacha
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (5,684)
48.9% (5,102)
+0.9%
Power Play
56.9% (571)
55.6% (804)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,196)
42.2% (555)
+1.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Cirelli is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,600).
Cirelli shoots left. Zacha is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,921).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Zacha
Home
49.6% (3,763)
49.7% (3,353)
Away
49.1% (3,688)
48.5% (3,108)
By Period
Cirelli
Zacha
P1
49.9%
49.9%
P2
48.8%
49.2%
P3
49.2%
48.1%
OT
51.6%
53.1%
Final 5 min
50.9%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.3%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 19:36 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 18:16 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 12:21 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 16:56 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 14:07 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 00:28 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:32 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 03:33 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 05:34 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 01:06 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 03:21 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 07:16 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 3 | 07:47 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 2 | 12:22 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 2 | 08:27 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 2 | 02:40 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 1 | 05:36 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 1 | 02:42 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |