Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 46.9% vs Thompson 41.2% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 87.3%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 89.2%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 84.0%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 87.1%
87.1%
12.9%
Cirelli
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Cirelli
Thompson
Last 9: Cirelli 8-1 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cirelli
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
4
0
Cirelli
Thompson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
3
0
Cirelli
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (737)
40.6% (801)
+5.8%
Power Play
57.6% (99)
44.7% (103)
+12.9%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (112)
31.0% (71)
+6.5%
On power play, Cirelli has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Cirelli is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (385).
Cirelli shoots left. Thompson is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (724).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Thompson
Home
46.7% (478)
43.2% (507)
Away
46.4% (470)
37.2% (468)
By Period
Cirelli
Thompson
P1
46.6%
37.7%
P2
48.6%
43.4%
P3
44.3%
39.5%
OT
44.4%
27.3%
Final 5 min
50.6%
39.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
46.5%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 06:42 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 03:46 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 2 | 14:53 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 2 | 14:49 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 2 | 04:28 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 2 | 01:12 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 1 | 09:38 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 3 | 15:15 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 1 | 17:50 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |