Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Thompson 44.0% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Cirelli leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Cirelli 83.5%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 82.9%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 88.3%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 85.3%
85.3%
14.7%
Cirelli
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
2
(12 meetings)
10
2
Cirelli
Thompson
Last 10: Cirelli 9-1 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
0
Cirelli
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
5
0
Cirelli
Thompson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
3
2
Cirelli
Thompson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (709)
44.6% (709)
+6.3%
Power Play
43.4% (76)
41.5% (53)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (150)
35.1% (97)
+8.9%
On penalty kill, Cirelli has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Cirelli is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Cirelli shoots left. Thompson is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Thompson
Home
50.6% (494)
45.5% (426)
Away
47.6% (441)
41.1% (433)
By Period
Cirelli
Thompson
P1
52.3%
48.5%
P2
45.4%
43.8%
P3
49.5%
38.1%
OT
62.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.2%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 07:48 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 04:59 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 19:21 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 17:52 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 07:12 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 17, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 19:05 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 17:08 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 18:25 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |