Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 51.2% vs Thompson 43.8% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Cirelli leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Cirelli 68.5%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 74.4%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 56.8%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Cirelli
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Cirelli
Thompson
Last 10: Cirelli 5-5 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cirelli
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Cirelli
Thompson
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (585)
43.3% (735)
+8.8%
Power Play
56.8% (74)
50.0% (26)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (172)
36.5% (52)
+10.0%
On penalty kill, Cirelli has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Cirelli is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (327).
Cirelli shoots left. Thompson is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Thompson
Home
52.4% (462)
44.5% (407)
Away
50.1% (369)
41.6% (406)
By Period
Cirelli
Thompson
P1
50.7%
44.4%
P2
49.6%
44.8%
P3
53.3%
40.2%
OT
61.5%
42.9%
Final 5 min
49.5%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
51.4%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 02:55 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 00:09 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 06:16 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 17:06 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 16:57 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 14:54 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 08:21 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 05:18 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 02:19 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |