Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 45.3% vs Nelson 49.4% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Nelson leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 63.3%
Defensive zone
Lundell 70.9%
Neutral zone
Lundell 52.4%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Lundell
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
9
(17 meetings)
8
9
Lundell
Nelson
Last 10: Lundell 4-6 Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
5
Lundell
Nelson
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
3
2
Lundell
Nelson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundell
3
2
Lundell
Nelson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (637)
49.9% (840)
-4.1%
Power Play
58.3% (24)
52.8% (89)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (87)
28.6% (35)
+3.6%
On power play, Lundell has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Lundell is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (481).
Lundell shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Home / Away
Lundell
Nelson
Home
46.3% (434)
49.8% (458)
Away
42.4% (314)
49.0% (506)
By Period
Lundell
Nelson
P1
46.6%
50.1%
P2
39.9%
45.4%
P3
47.1%
52.7%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
41.4%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
44.7%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2022 | 3 | 18:02 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 3 | 02:45 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 14:40 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 1 | 09:13 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 1 | 05:09 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 1 | 05:01 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 12:31 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 16:45 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 03:04 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 02:40 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 07:42 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 05:26 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 18:36 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 16:20 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 16:13 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 07:12 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 07:10 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |