Scouting Report
Anton Lundell holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Lundell wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Nelson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 54.4% vs Nelson 45.8% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lundell 72.2%
Defensive zone
Lundell 72.5%
Neutral zone
Lundell 72.1%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 72.3%
72.3%
27.7%
Lundell
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Lundell
Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lundell
Nelson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundell
2
0
Lundell
Nelson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (768)
46.1% (735)
+8.2%
Power Play
65.6% (61)
34.5% (29)
+31.1%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (49)
30.4% (23)
+20.6%
On power play, Lundell has a +31.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Lundell is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Lundell shoots left. Nelson is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Home / Away
Lundell
Nelson
Home
57.3% (450)
48.7% (419)
Away
52.3% (428)
41.3% (368)
By Period
Lundell
Nelson
P1
54.3%
44.6%
P2
58.2%
47.3%
P3
52.0%
43.0%
OT
75.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
60.6%
39.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
54.9%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 01:56 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 13:31 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 05:23 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 05:17 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |