Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Lundell wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 51.6% vs Tavares 57.2% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Lundell 59.3%
Defensive zone
Lundell 80.4%
Neutral zone
Lundell 61.5%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 64.9%
64.9%
35.1%
Lundell
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
10
(17 meetings)
7
10
Lundell
Tavares
Last 10: Lundell 4-6 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
8
Lundell
Tavares
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
3
1
Lundell
Tavares
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundell
4
1
Lundell
Tavares
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (786)
58.0% (914)
-5.3%
Power Play
52.6% (152)
57.0% (235)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (182)
57.9% (19)
-10.6%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Lundell is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (783).
Lundell shoots left. Tavares is 61.0% vs left-shot opponents (766).
Home / Away
Lundell
Tavares
Home
51.0% (574)
57.8% (614)
Away
52.6% (546)
57.8% (554)
By Period
Lundell
Tavares
P1
52.9%
58.0%
P2
55.8%
56.9%
P3
47.1%
58.4%
OT
46.2%
57.7%
Final 5 min
50.8%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.8%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 16:05 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 05:20 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 18:49 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 11:37 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 11:09 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 17:25 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 15:43 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 19:11 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 06:05 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 09:27 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 14:21 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 13:28 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 13:20 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 14:04 | Offensive | John Tavares |