Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lundell on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Lundell wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 52.7% vs Tavares 57.7% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Lundell leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 82.2%
Defensive zone
Tavares 69.8%
Neutral zone
Tavares 74.1%
Result
John Tavares favored at 78.1%
21.9%
78.1%
Lundell
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
5
(16 meetings)
11
5
Lundell
Tavares
Last 10: Lundell 8-2 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
8
2
Lundell
Tavares
10 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lundell
Tavares
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lundell
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (804)
57.7% (998)
-3.1%
Power Play
50.6% (81)
60.5% (271)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (138)
56.4% (39)
-11.5%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Lundell is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (701).
Lundell shoots left. Tavares is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Home / Away
Lundell
Tavares
Home
51.2% (527)
59.7% (610)
Away
54.8% (496)
57.0% (698)
By Period
Lundell
Tavares
P1
53.7%
57.2%
P2
51.7%
58.5%
P3
54.1%
59.4%
OT
20.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
53.2%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.0%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 07:52 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 00:50 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 2 | 16:56 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 2 | 04:50 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 1 | 18:03 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 1 | 12:10 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 1 | 09:24 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 1 | 03:14 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 3 | 19:46 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 3 | 19:08 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 3 | 18:50 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 3 | 18:05 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 3 | 17:22 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 09:34 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 09:29 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2 | 17:13 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |