Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 26 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 50.7% vs Tavares 54.4% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Lundell leads 28-25 in 53 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 72.1%
Defensive zone
Lundell 55.1%
Neutral zone
Tavares 60.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 61.2%
38.8%
61.2%
Lundell
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
25
(53 meetings)
28
25
Lundell
Tavares
Last 10: Lundell 4-6 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
10
16
Lundell
Tavares
26 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
10
7
Lundell
Tavares
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundell
8
2
Lundell
Tavares
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,486)
54.0% (16,108)
-2.9%
Power Play
55.6% (358)
56.5% (4,283)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (504)
50.6% (620)
-5.8%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Lundell is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,891).
Lundell shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Home / Away
Lundell
Tavares
Home
50.7% (2,304)
56.1% (10,503)
Away
50.9% (2,044)
52.7% (10,537)
By Period
Lundell
Tavares
P1
52.0%
55.0%
P2
51.4%
54.1%
P3
49.0%
54.1%
OT
48.1%
55.9%
Final 5 min
52.0%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
50.8%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 16:05 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 05:20 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 18:49 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 11:37 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 11:09 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 17:25 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 15:43 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 19:11 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 06:05 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 09:27 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 14:21 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 13:28 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 13:20 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 14:04 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 07:52 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 00:50 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 2 | 16:56 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |