Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +15.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 45.3% vs Tavares 59.8% (-15.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 96.0%
Defensive zone
Tavares 73.3%
Neutral zone
Tavares 93.0%
Result
John Tavares favored at 88.8%
11.2%
88.8%
Lundell
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Lundell
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
1
0
Lundell
Tavares
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
1
0
Lundell
Tavares
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundell
2
0
Lundell
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (637)
60.9% (1,043)
-15.1%
Power Play
58.3% (24)
60.4% (278)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (87)
47.6% (21)
-15.4%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Lundell is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (481).
Lundell shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Lundell
Tavares
Home
46.3% (434)
63.5% (684)
Away
42.4% (314)
57.6% (658)
By Period
Lundell
Tavares
P1
46.6%
60.3%
P2
39.9%
60.4%
P3
47.1%
60.1%
OT
33.3%
92.3%
Final 5 min
41.4%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
44.7%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2022 | 3 | 07:49 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 3 | 17:25 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 3 | 17:05 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 2 | 00:30 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |