Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Lundell wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 47.0% vs Tavares 57.7% (-11.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lundell 81.8%
Defensive zone
Lundell 83.5%
Neutral zone
Lundell 87.2%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 82.5%
82.5%
17.5%
Lundell
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Lundell
Tavares
Last 8: Lundell 1-7 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
5
Lundell
Tavares
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
2
Lundell
Tavares
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (491)
57.5% (914)
-12.7%
Power Play
60.0% (40)
60.5% (309)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (48)
59.1% (22)
-7.0%
On even strength, Tavares has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Lundell is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Lundell shoots left. Tavares is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Home / Away
Lundell
Tavares
Home
45.5% (319)
61.0% (661)
Away
47.7% (260)
55.3% (584)
By Period
Lundell
Tavares
P1
50.8%
58.6%
P2
46.5%
57.8%
P3
41.7%
58.4%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.4%
63.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.5%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2023 | 2 | 16:11 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 2 | 10:18 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 3 | 16:19 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 3 | 10:03 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 3 | 09:57 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 2 | 11:33 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 2 | 00:59 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 1 | 08:07 | Offensive | John Tavares |