Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lundell on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 45.3% vs Staal 56.8% (-12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 53.9%
Defensive zone
Lundell 54.1%
Neutral zone
Lundell 52.1%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Lundell
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lundell
Staal
Last 5: Lundell 2-3 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Lundell
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundell
2
1
Lundell
Staal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (637)
58.9% (1,041)
-13.1%
Power Play
58.3% (24)
53.4% (73)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (87)
49.1% (171)
-16.9%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Lundell is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (481).
Lundell shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Home / Away
Lundell
Staal
Home
46.3% (434)
59.0% (578)
Away
42.4% (314)
55.9% (707)
By Period
Lundell
Staal
P1
46.6%
57.1%
P2
39.9%
60.9%
P3
47.1%
55.8%
OT
33.3%
20.8%
Final 5 min
41.4%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
44.7%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 14:14 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 14:09 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 02:31 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 15:20 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 05:21 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |