Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Lundell wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 47.0% vs Staal 55.3% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lundell 76.8%
Defensive zone
Lundell 78.7%
Neutral zone
Lundell 74.6%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 76.7%
76.7%
23.3%
Lundell
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Lundell
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Lundell
Staal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Lundell
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Lundell
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (491)
56.3% (1,115)
-11.5%
Power Play
60.0% (40)
61.2% (67)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (48)
52.1% (292)
+0.0%
On even strength, Staal has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Lundell is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Lundell shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Home / Away
Lundell
Staal
Home
45.5% (319)
58.3% (705)
Away
47.7% (260)
53.3% (769)
By Period
Lundell
Staal
P1
50.8%
54.5%
P2
46.5%
58.2%
P3
41.7%
54.1%
OT
100.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
54.4%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.5%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 04:35 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 06:05 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 3 | 07:04 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 2 | 09:03 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |