Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 50.7% vs Staal 55.3% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 25-11 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Lundell 79.8%
Defensive zone
Lundell 87.2%
Neutral zone
Lundell 82.6%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 83.8%
83.8%
16.2%
Lundell
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
25
(36 meetings)
11
25
Lundell
Staal
Last 10: Lundell 2-8 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
5
6
Lundell
Staal
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
14
Lundell
Staal
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
4
5
Lundell
Staal
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,486)
55.9% (14,620)
-4.8%
Power Play
55.6% (358)
62.7% (1,745)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (504)
48.0% (2,896)
-3.2%
On power play, Staal has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Lundell is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,891).
Lundell shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Home / Away
Lundell
Staal
Home
50.7% (2,304)
56.4% (9,663)
Away
50.9% (2,044)
54.3% (9,663)
By Period
Lundell
Staal
P1
52.0%
55.2%
P2
51.4%
55.9%
P3
49.0%
54.9%
OT
48.1%
56.2%
Final 5 min
52.0%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
50.8%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | 3 | 04:19 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 3 | 01:19 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 15:38 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 07:51 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 07:49 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 14:11 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 12:00 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 11:51 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 06:35 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 2 | 10:08 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 1 | 18:46 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 14:54 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 11:08 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 10:53 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 08:03 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 18:34 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 15:47 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 15:29 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 13:26 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |