Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Lundell wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 51.6% vs Staal 54.6% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Lundell 63.1%
Defensive zone
Lundell 62.7%
Neutral zone
Lundell 62.7%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
Lundell
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Lundell
Staal
Last 10: Lundell 2-8 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lundell
Staal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
5
Lundell
Staal
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Lundell
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (786)
56.1% (955)
-3.4%
Power Play
52.6% (152)
66.9% (142)
-14.3%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (182)
43.0% (242)
+4.3%
On power play, Staal has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Lundell is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (783).
Lundell shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Home / Away
Lundell
Staal
Home
51.0% (574)
55.4% (663)
Away
52.6% (546)
54.4% (676)
By Period
Lundell
Staal
P1
52.9%
55.1%
P2
55.8%
54.7%
P3
47.1%
53.9%
OT
46.2%
70.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.8%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | 3 | 04:19 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 3 | 01:19 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 15:38 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 07:51 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 07:49 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 14:11 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 12:00 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 11:51 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 06:35 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 2 | 10:08 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 1 | 18:46 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |