Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Lundell wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 52.7% vs Staal 54.2% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Lundell 76.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 60.0%
Neutral zone
Lundell 55.1%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Lundell
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
10
(16 meetings)
6
10
Lundell
Staal
Last 10: Lundell 5-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
3
0
Lundell
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
8
Lundell
Staal
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Lundell
Staal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (804)
57.0% (1,017)
-2.4%
Power Play
50.6% (81)
57.7% (26)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (138)
45.1% (286)
-0.2%
On power play, Staal has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Lundell is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (701).
Lundell shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Home / Away
Lundell
Staal
Home
51.2% (527)
54.3% (667)
Away
54.8% (496)
54.7% (662)
By Period
Lundell
Staal
P1
53.7%
56.2%
P2
51.7%
57.0%
P3
54.1%
49.7%
OT
20.0%
68.4%
Final 5 min
53.2%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.0%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 14:54 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 11:08 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 10:53 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 08:03 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 18:34 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 15:47 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 15:29 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 13:26 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 10:44 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 03:30 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 01:26 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 18:54 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 00:11 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 05:29 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |