Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 45.3% vs Aho 52.2% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 89.3%
Defensive zone
Aho 55.7%
Neutral zone
Aho 66.2%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 78.1%
21.9%
78.1%
Lundell
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Lundell
Aho
Last 6: Lundell 4-2 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lundell
Aho
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
2
0
Lundell
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (637)
51.6% (819)
-5.8%
Power Play
58.3% (24)
58.4% (173)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (87)
46.3% (67)
-14.1%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Lundell is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (481).
Lundell shoots left. Aho is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (674).
Home / Away
Lundell
Aho
Home
46.3% (434)
53.9% (568)
Away
42.4% (314)
50.7% (491)
By Period
Lundell
Aho
P1
46.6%
55.4%
P2
39.9%
51.2%
P3
47.1%
50.9%
OT
33.3%
28.6%
Final 5 min
41.4%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
44.7%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 01:21 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 01:04 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 16:38 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 03:27 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 15:56 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 04:49 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |