Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lundell wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 52.7% vs Aho 54.9% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 57.4%
Defensive zone
Lundell 66.3%
Neutral zone
Lundell 54.5%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Lundell
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Lundell
Aho
Last 7: Lundell 3-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
3
Lundell
Aho
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
2
1
Lundell
Aho
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (804)
54.5% (870)
+0.1%
Power Play
50.6% (81)
62.4% (266)
-11.8%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (138)
37.1% (62)
+7.8%
On power play, Aho has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Lundell is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (701).
Lundell shoots left. Aho is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (805).
Home / Away
Lundell
Aho
Home
51.2% (527)
53.9% (603)
Away
54.8% (496)
56.8% (595)
By Period
Lundell
Aho
P1
53.7%
54.1%
P2
51.7%
55.0%
P3
54.1%
57.4%
OT
20.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.2%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.0%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 07:18 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 06:20 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 09:48 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 03:38 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 07:00 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 04:07 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 02:12 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |