Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.8% vs 51.3%). Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (58% H2H, 24 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 50.7% vs Aho 51.2% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 31-27 in 58 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 63.7%
Defensive zone
Lundell 66.0%
Neutral zone
Lundell 52.3%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Lundell
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
31
(58 meetings)
27
31
Lundell
Aho
Last 10: Lundell 4-6 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
10
14
Lundell
Aho
24 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
9
8
Lundell
Aho
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
8
9
Lundell
Aho
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,486)
50.1% (6,619)
+1.0%
Power Play
55.6% (358)
58.9% (1,310)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (504)
46.3% (464)
-1.5%
On power play, Aho has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Lundell is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,891).
Lundell shoots left. Aho is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,305).
Home / Away
Lundell
Aho
Home
50.7% (2,304)
52.4% (4,308)
Away
50.9% (2,044)
50.1% (4,085)
By Period
Lundell
Aho
P1
52.0%
51.1%
P2
51.4%
52.0%
P3
49.0%
50.7%
OT
48.1%
48.9%
Final 5 min
52.0%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
50.8%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | 3 | 07:17 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 18:49 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 13:10 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 18:35 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 05:34 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 09:14 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 06:17 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 19:36 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 17:29 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 17:04 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 12:35 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 06:24 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 18:09 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 04:21 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 2 | 18:25 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 1 | 14:14 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |