Scouting Report
Anton Lundell holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Lundell wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 51.6% vs Aho 50.0% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 63.6%
Defensive zone
Lundell 66.9%
Neutral zone
Aho 54.8%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Lundell
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
11
(21 meetings)
10
11
Lundell
Aho
Last 10: Lundell 4-6 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
2
3
Lundell
Aho
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
3
2
Lundell
Aho
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
5
6
Lundell
Aho
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (786)
49.9% (851)
+2.8%
Power Play
52.6% (152)
53.5% (144)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (182)
43.3% (60)
+4.0%
On penalty kill, Lundell has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Lundell is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (783).
Lundell shoots left. Aho is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Lundell
Aho
Home
51.0% (574)
53.2% (554)
Away
52.6% (546)
46.5% (501)
By Period
Lundell
Aho
P1
52.9%
49.1%
P2
55.8%
50.8%
P3
47.1%
49.7%
OT
46.2%
58.8%
Final 5 min
50.8%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.8%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | 3 | 07:17 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 18:49 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 13:10 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 18:35 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 05:34 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 09:14 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 06:17 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 19:36 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 17:29 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 17:04 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 12:35 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 06:24 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 18:09 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 04:21 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 2 | 18:25 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 1 | 14:14 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |