Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Lundell wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 47.0% vs Aho 51.2% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 59.2%
Defensive zone
Lundell 63.6%
Neutral zone
Lundell 57.2%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Lundell
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
9
(17 meetings)
8
9
Lundell
Aho
Last 10: Lundell 4-6 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Lundell
Aho
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
2
3
Lundell
Aho
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Lundell
Aho
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (491)
48.5% (778)
-3.7%
Power Play
60.0% (40)
63.4% (191)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (48)
50.8% (65)
+1.3%
On even strength, Aho has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Lundell is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Lundell shoots left. Aho is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Lundell
Aho
Home
45.5% (319)
51.3% (530)
Away
47.7% (260)
51.4% (504)
By Period
Lundell
Aho
P1
50.8%
50.0%
P2
46.5%
51.3%
P3
41.7%
52.1%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.4%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.5%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 01:59 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 01:46 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 19:18 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 08:07 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 14:36 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 08:01 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 07:57 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 3 | 16:22 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 3 | 07:26 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 3 | 04:23 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 3 | 04:17 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 1 | 01:04 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 3 | 05:15 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 2 | 09:27 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 1 | 17:32 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 1 | 01:14 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |