Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.2% vs 55.0%). Look for Kopitar on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 57.1% vs left-shot opponents — Matthews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.8% vs Matthews 54.5% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 64.9%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 66.7%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 52.2%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Kopitar
Matthews
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Kopitar
Matthews
Last 7: Kopitar 6-1 Matthews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
3
1
Kopitar
Matthews
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
3
0
Kopitar
Matthews
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Matthews
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (1,009)
55.1% (856)
+0.1%
Power Play
56.3% (229)
54.3% (46)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (169)
50.0% (18)
+3.3%
On penalty kill, Kopitar has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthews shoots left. Kopitar is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Kopitar shoots left. Matthews is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (578).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Matthews
Home
55.9% (680)
57.0% (440)
Away
54.5% (727)
53.1% (480)
By Period
Kopitar
Matthews
P1
55.4%
54.0%
P2
52.9%
55.1%
P3
56.7%
56.4%
OT
60.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
55.4%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.2%
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2020 | OT | 03:47 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 3 | 13:03 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 3 | 11:03 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 3 | 04:02 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 3 | 01:39 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 3 | 00:30 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 1 | 03:45 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |