Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Kopitar wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Matthews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs Matthews 58.8% (-3.6%)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 53.1%
Defensive zone
Matthews 57.8%
Neutral zone
Matthews 59.0%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Kopitar
Matthews
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Matthews
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (711)
59.8% (848)
-4.9%
Power Play
64.3% (207)
64.9% (37)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (150)
56.3% (87)
-5.6%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthews shoots left. Kopitar is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (724).
Kopitar shoots left. Matthews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Matthews
Home
56.8% (533)
60.0% (520)
Away
55.3% (535)
59.3% (452)
By Period
Kopitar
Matthews
P1
55.9%
60.2%
P2
57.1%
58.2%
P3
55.4%
60.4%
OT
55.6%
70.0%
Final 5 min
56.0%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
56.1%
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%