Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.9% vs 56.2%). Look for Kopitar on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kopitar wins 59.0% vs left-shot opponents — Matthews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.4% vs Matthews 55.8% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 57.6%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 59.8%
Neutral zone
Matthews 53.0%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Kopitar
Matthews
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Kopitar
Matthews
Last 8: Kopitar 4-4 Matthews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
0
2
Kopitar
Matthews
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kopitar
Matthews
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
3
1
Kopitar
Matthews
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Matthews
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (1,070)
56.3% (1,167)
+1.3%
Power Play
60.6% (264)
57.5% (40)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (175)
50.0% (22)
-3.1%
On power play, Kopitar has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthews shoots left. Kopitar is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (916).
Kopitar shoots left. Matthews is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (755).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Matthews
Home
57.2% (778)
60.7% (572)
Away
56.5% (731)
52.4% (657)
By Period
Kopitar
Matthews
P1
56.3%
60.3%
P2
57.1%
55.6%
P3
57.0%
53.3%
OT
59.5%
45.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
56.9%
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 17:41 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 12:14 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 05:06 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 8, 2021 | 3 | 15:30 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 8, 2021 | 3 | 11:28 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 8, 2021 | 2 | 14:04 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 8, 2021 | 2 | 13:56 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 8, 2021 | 1 | 07:09 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |