Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Matthews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs Matthews 52.2% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 51.7%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 83.2%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 62.3%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 83.2%
83.2%
16.8%
Kopitar
Matthews
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Kopitar
Matthews
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
3
0
Kopitar
Matthews
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Matthews
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,114)
52.7% (1,015)
+3.7%
Power Play
60.1% (288)
34.6% (26)
+25.5%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (206)
75.0% (8)
-27.4%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +27.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthews shoots left. Kopitar is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,025).
Kopitar shoots left. Matthews is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Matthews
Home
56.3% (783)
54.8% (515)
Away
55.5% (825)
50.2% (534)
By Period
Kopitar
Matthews
P1
57.9%
54.4%
P2
54.5%
50.4%
P3
55.2%
51.8%
OT
57.6%
75.0%
Final 5 min
55.9%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.9%
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2022 | 1 | 06:59 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 1 | 03:49 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 02:20 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |