Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Kopitar wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Matthews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.8% vs Matthews 53.2% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 55.7%
Defensive zone
Matthews 54.8%
Neutral zone
Matthews 52.0%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Kopitar
Matthews
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Kopitar
Matthews
Last 10: Kopitar 6-4 Matthews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
3
Kopitar
Matthews
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
0
3
Kopitar
Matthews
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
7
2
Kopitar
Matthews
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Matthews
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,054)
53.4% (1,169)
+3.0%
Power Play
57.3% (293)
65.8% (76)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (213)
41.9% (74)
+3.6%
On power play, Matthews has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthews shoots left. Kopitar is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,024).
Kopitar shoots left. Matthews is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (841).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Matthews
Home
56.1% (786)
56.5% (703)
Away
54.0% (774)
50.0% (616)
By Period
Kopitar
Matthews
P1
56.2%
52.1%
P2
55.4%
54.0%
P3
53.0%
54.0%
OT
70.0%
57.7%
Final 5 min
56.1%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 11:02 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 31, 2023 | 3 | 16:12 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 31, 2023 | 3 | 16:06 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 31, 2023 | 3 | 15:45 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 31, 2023 | 3 | 13:17 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 31, 2023 | 3 | 11:58 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 31, 2023 | 3 | 02:28 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 31, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 31, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 31, 2023 | 1 | 13:17 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 31, 2023 | 1 | 12:57 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 31, 2023 | 1 | 07:18 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 31, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |