Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.2% vs 56.8%). Look for Matthews on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Kopitar wins 58.5% vs left-shot opponents — Matthews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.8% vs Matthews 56.3% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 54.7%
Defensive zone
Matthews 56.4%
Neutral zone
Matthews 54.7%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Kopitar
Matthews
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Kopitar
Matthews
Last 10: Kopitar 4-6 Matthews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Kopitar
Matthews
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
3
Kopitar
Matthews
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
1
0
Kopitar
Matthews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Matthews
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (1,085)
58.3% (943)
-1.4%
Power Play
68.8% (256)
55.7% (61)
+13.1%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (196)
50.7% (219)
-6.8%
On power play, Kopitar has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthews shoots left. Kopitar is 58.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
Kopitar shoots left. Matthews is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Matthews
Home
58.4% (774)
59.1% (528)
Away
56.0% (763)
55.1% (695)
By Period
Kopitar
Matthews
P1
59.4%
56.2%
P2
56.8%
58.1%
P3
55.9%
56.4%
OT
45.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
57.2%
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 01:35 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 00:24 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 04:29 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 03:59 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 18:01 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 15:33 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 08:26 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 3 | 10:30 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 3 | 03:09 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 2 | 12:22 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 2 | 07:56 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 2 | 02:12 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 2 | 01:55 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 1 | 00:52 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |