Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kopitar wins 59.0% vs left-shot opponents — Nelson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.4% vs Nelson 49.4% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 54.5%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 72.2%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 54.2%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Kopitar
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Kopitar
Nelson
Last 10: Kopitar 6-4 Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kopitar
Nelson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
2
Kopitar
Nelson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
3
1
Kopitar
Nelson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (1,070)
49.9% (840)
+7.7%
Power Play
60.6% (264)
52.8% (89)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (175)
28.6% (35)
+18.3%
On penalty kill, Kopitar has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Kopitar is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (916).
Kopitar shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Nelson
Home
57.2% (778)
49.8% (458)
Away
56.5% (731)
49.0% (506)
By Period
Kopitar
Nelson
P1
56.3%
50.1%
P2
57.1%
45.4%
P3
57.0%
52.7%
OT
59.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.6%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
56.9%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 15:56 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 17:07 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 1 | 16:59 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 1 | 07:51 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 1 | 03:04 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 06:27 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 2 | 19:33 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 2 | 09:28 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 2 | 05:02 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 1 | 01:52 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |