Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Kopitar wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Nelson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.8% vs Nelson 45.8% (+9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 75.8%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 88.7%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 88.2%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 80.1%
80.1%
19.9%
Kopitar
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Kopitar
Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
0
Kopitar
Nelson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
1
0
Kopitar
Nelson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,054)
46.1% (735)
+10.3%
Power Play
57.3% (293)
34.5% (29)
+22.8%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (213)
30.4% (23)
+15.1%
On power play, Kopitar has a +22.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Kopitar is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,024).
Kopitar shoots left. Nelson is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Nelson
Home
56.1% (786)
48.7% (419)
Away
54.0% (774)
41.3% (368)
By Period
Kopitar
Nelson
P1
56.2%
44.6%
P2
55.4%
47.3%
P3
53.0%
43.0%
OT
70.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
39.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 07:02 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 00:56 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 01:22 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |