Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on neutral-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings). Kopitar wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Nelson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs Nelson 50.6% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 19-6 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 90.4%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 78.9%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 81.4%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 83.6%
83.6%
16.4%
Kopitar
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
6
(25 meetings)
19
6
Kopitar
Nelson
Last 10: Kopitar 7-3 Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
7
1
Kopitar
Nelson
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Kopitar
Nelson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
9
2
Kopitar
Nelson
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (711)
50.7% (879)
+4.2%
Power Play
64.3% (207)
58.6% (162)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (150)
43.4% (198)
+7.3%
On penalty kill, Kopitar has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Kopitar is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (724).
Kopitar shoots left. Nelson is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Nelson
Home
56.8% (533)
52.3% (621)
Away
55.3% (535)
48.9% (618)
By Period
Kopitar
Nelson
P1
55.9%
48.4%
P2
57.1%
53.5%
P3
55.4%
50.3%
OT
55.6%
41.2%
Final 5 min
56.0%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
56.1%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 17:13 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 13:05 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 07:30 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 07:21 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 04:20 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 15:02 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 04:59 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 17:14 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 12:38 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 10:13 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 04:27 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 01:04 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 00:51 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 17:34 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 09:00 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 02:26 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 00:15 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 03:18 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |