Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Nelson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs Nelson 47.5% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 62.3%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 84.7%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 68.9%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 75.7%
75.7%
24.3%
Kopitar
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Kopitar
Nelson
Last 6: Kopitar 4-2 Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
1
0
Kopitar
Nelson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
3
0
Kopitar
Nelson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
0
2
Kopitar
Nelson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,114)
46.9% (915)
+9.5%
Power Play
60.1% (288)
57.4% (94)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (206)
25.0% (28)
+22.6%
On penalty kill, Kopitar has a +22.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Kopitar is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,025).
Kopitar shoots left. Nelson is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Nelson
Home
56.3% (783)
48.9% (521)
Away
55.5% (825)
45.5% (516)
By Period
Kopitar
Nelson
P1
57.9%
45.9%
P2
54.5%
48.0%
P3
55.2%
48.0%
OT
57.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.9%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.9%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2023 | 3 | 11:50 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 2 | 18:14 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 2 | 12:14 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 2 | 04:01 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 1 | 05:32 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 1 | 03:04 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |