Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kopitar wins 58.5% vs left-shot opponents — Nelson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.8% vs Nelson 51.9% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 76.7%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 88.8%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 76.6%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 79.9%
79.9%
20.1%
Kopitar
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
4
(15 meetings)
11
4
Kopitar
Nelson
Last 9: Kopitar 8-1 Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
4
3
Kopitar
Nelson
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
3
1
Kopitar
Nelson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
4
0
Kopitar
Nelson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (1,085)
51.3% (1,002)
+5.6%
Power Play
68.8% (256)
58.7% (126)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (196)
51.9% (81)
-8.0%
On power play, Kopitar has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Kopitar is 58.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
Kopitar shoots left. Nelson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Nelson
Home
58.4% (774)
52.5% (590)
Away
56.0% (763)
51.7% (619)
By Period
Kopitar
Nelson
P1
59.4%
50.5%
P2
56.8%
54.4%
P3
55.9%
51.4%
OT
45.5%
47.4%
Final 5 min
54.9%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
57.2%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 02:02 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 01:57 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 10:09 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 01:22 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 10:11 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 06:33 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 15:26 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 09:17 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |