Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.4% vs Evans 49.8% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 69.3%
Defensive zone
Evans 75.2%
Neutral zone
Evans 59.8%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Kopitar
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Kopitar
Evans
Last 8: Kopitar 4-4 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
1
Kopitar
Evans
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kopitar
Evans
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
0
1
Kopitar
Evans
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (1,070)
51.3% (739)
+6.3%
Power Play
60.6% (264)
53.3% (15)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (175)
43.0% (172)
+3.9%
On power play, Kopitar has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Kopitar is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (593).
Kopitar shoots left. Evans is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Evans
Home
57.2% (778)
52.1% (503)
Away
56.5% (731)
47.0% (423)
By Period
Kopitar
Evans
P1
56.3%
50.5%
P2
57.1%
47.7%
P3
57.0%
51.3%
OT
59.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
56.9%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2021 | OT | 01:27 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 3 | 19:36 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 3 | 07:42 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 3 | 01:07 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 2 | 15:05 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 2 | 09:30 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 2 | 02:50 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 2 | 00:30 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |