Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Kopitar wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs Evans 51.7% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 89.9%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 58.3%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 66.1%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 84.6%
84.6%
15.4%
Kopitar
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Kopitar
Evans
Last 6: Kopitar 5-1 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
5
0
Kopitar
Evans
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
1
Kopitar
Evans
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,114)
54.5% (483)
+1.9%
Power Play
60.1% (288)
58.3% (12)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (206)
43.9% (155)
+3.7%
On penalty kill, Kopitar has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Kopitar is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (583).
Kopitar shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Evans
Home
56.3% (783)
49.4% (336)
Away
55.5% (825)
54.8% (314)
By Period
Kopitar
Evans
P1
57.9%
55.8%
P2
54.5%
51.7%
P3
55.2%
48.2%
OT
57.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.9%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.9%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2022 | 3 | 17:48 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 3 | 02:23 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 2 | 08:28 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 1 | 11:04 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 1 | 11:00 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 1 | 03:25 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |