Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kopitar wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.8% vs Evans 52.6% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 72.4%
Defensive zone
Evans 87.3%
Neutral zone
Evans 58.3%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 75.3%
24.7%
75.3%
Kopitar
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kopitar
Evans
Last 5: Kopitar 2-3 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
1
0
Kopitar
Evans
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
3
Kopitar
Evans
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (1,085)
54.4% (824)
+2.5%
Power Play
68.8% (256)
66.7% (9)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (196)
48.1% (289)
-4.2%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Kopitar is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (508).
Kopitar shoots left. Evans is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (838).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Evans
Home
58.4% (774)
55.1% (541)
Away
56.0% (763)
50.8% (581)
By Period
Kopitar
Evans
P1
59.4%
51.8%
P2
56.8%
53.3%
P3
55.9%
53.8%
OT
45.5%
38.5%
Final 5 min
54.9%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
57.2%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2025 | 3 | 12:50 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 5, 2025 | 3 | 09:41 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 5, 2025 | 2 | 09:36 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 5, 2025 | 2 | 08:49 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 5, 2025 | 1 | 17:49 | Defensive | Jake Evans |