Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 56.0% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.8% vs Evans 52.0% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 60.6%
Defensive zone
Evans 89.0%
Neutral zone
Evans 67.2%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 67.7%
32.3%
67.7%
Kopitar
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Kopitar
Evans
Last 8: Kopitar 2-6 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
3
Kopitar
Evans
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
3
Kopitar
Evans
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
1
0
Kopitar
Evans
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,054)
54.4% (807)
+2.0%
Power Play
57.3% (293)
55.0% (20)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (213)
46.1% (310)
-0.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Kopitar is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (536).
Kopitar shoots left. Evans is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Evans
Home
56.1% (786)
53.7% (581)
Away
54.0% (774)
50.5% (556)
By Period
Kopitar
Evans
P1
56.2%
54.6%
P2
55.4%
50.0%
P3
53.0%
52.3%
OT
70.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
56.1%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 14:03 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 13:55 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 10:48 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 00:37 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 16:43 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 16:31 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 14:36 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 2 | 07:33 | Defensive | Jake Evans |