Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.1% vs 56.2%). Look for Kopitar on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Kopitar wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs Evans 55.4% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 86.8%
Defensive zone
Evans 67.7%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 50.8%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Kopitar
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Kopitar
Evans
Last 10: Kopitar 7-3 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
6
0
Kopitar
Evans
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
5
Kopitar
Evans
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
1
0
Kopitar
Evans
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (711)
56.2% (477)
-1.3%
Power Play
64.3% (207)
70.0% (10)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (150)
55.4% (204)
-4.7%
On power play, Evans has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Kopitar is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Kopitar shoots left. Evans is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (516).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Evans
Home
56.8% (533)
55.3% (374)
Away
55.3% (535)
57.1% (317)
By Period
Kopitar
Evans
P1
55.9%
58.5%
P2
57.1%
55.7%
P3
55.4%
53.9%
OT
55.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
56.0%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
56.1%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 19:51 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 14:38 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 07:01 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 16:56 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 19:36 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 15:59 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 08:14 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 04:57 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 16:42 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 08:17 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 07:53 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 07:42 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 01:14 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 10:06 | Defensive | Jake Evans |