Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Kopitar wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs Tavares 57.2% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 57.7%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 65.6%
Neutral zone
Tavares 58.7%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Kopitar
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Kopitar
Tavares
Last 7: Kopitar 2-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Kopitar
Tavares
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kopitar
Tavares
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Kopitar
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (711)
58.0% (914)
-3.1%
Power Play
64.3% (207)
57.0% (235)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (150)
57.9% (19)
-7.2%
On power play, Kopitar has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Kopitar is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (724).
Kopitar shoots left. Tavares is 61.0% vs left-shot opponents (766).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Tavares
Home
56.8% (533)
57.8% (614)
Away
55.3% (535)
57.8% (554)
By Period
Kopitar
Tavares
P1
55.9%
58.0%
P2
57.1%
56.9%
P3
55.4%
58.4%
OT
55.6%
57.7%
Final 5 min
56.0%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
56.1%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 16:07 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 07:24 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 04:27 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 14:08 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 05:05 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 11:11 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 10:56 | Neutral | John Tavares |