Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 59.0% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.4% vs Tavares 59.8% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 64.3%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 65.5%
Neutral zone
Tavares 53.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Kopitar
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Kopitar
Tavares
Last 10: Kopitar 4-6 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
2
Kopitar
Tavares
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
1
Kopitar
Tavares
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
3
Kopitar
Tavares
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (1,070)
60.9% (1,043)
-3.3%
Power Play
60.6% (264)
60.4% (278)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (175)
47.6% (21)
-0.7%
On even strength, Tavares has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Kopitar is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (916).
Kopitar shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Tavares
Home
57.2% (778)
63.5% (684)
Away
56.5% (731)
57.6% (658)
By Period
Kopitar
Tavares
P1
56.3%
60.3%
P2
57.1%
60.4%
P3
57.0%
60.1%
OT
59.5%
92.3%
Final 5 min
57.6%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
56.9%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 05:21 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 02:12 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 17:48 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 01:35 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 8, 2021 | 3 | 00:43 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 8, 2021 | 2 | 09:37 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 8, 2021 | 2 | 01:05 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 8, 2021 | 1 | 14:21 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 8, 2021 | 1 | 05:44 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |