Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Kopitar wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.8% vs Tavares 58.7% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 58.6%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 61.7%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 55.0%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Kopitar
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Kopitar
Tavares
Last 10: Kopitar 4-6 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
3
Kopitar
Tavares
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kopitar
Tavares
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Kopitar
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,054)
59.2% (1,035)
-2.8%
Power Play
57.3% (293)
60.0% (310)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (213)
42.9% (7)
+2.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Kopitar is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,024).
Kopitar shoots left. Tavares is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Tavares
Home
56.1% (786)
57.5% (668)
Away
54.0% (774)
61.1% (684)
By Period
Kopitar
Tavares
P1
56.2%
58.0%
P2
55.4%
60.1%
P3
53.0%
61.0%
OT
70.0%
27.8%
Final 5 min
56.1%
60.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 09:17 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 06:01 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 02:25 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 18:57 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 13:06 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 10:21 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 06:03 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 04:09 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 31, 2023 | 3 | 09:43 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 31, 2023 | 2 | 14:09 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 31, 2023 | 2 | 06:18 | Offensive | John Tavares |