Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.5% vs 54.4%). Look for Kopitar on defensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 67 meetings). Kopitar wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.5% vs Tavares 54.4% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 93-82 in 175 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 63.0%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 62.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 57.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Kopitar
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
82
-
93
(175 meetings)
82
93
Kopitar
Tavares
Last 10: Kopitar 4-6 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
17
41
Kopitar
Tavares
58 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
46
21
Kopitar
Tavares
67 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
19
31
Kopitar
Tavares
50 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (16,723)
54.0% (16,108)
+0.6%
Power Play
59.2% (3,582)
56.5% (4,283)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (2,941)
50.6% (620)
-2.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Kopitar is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (15,150).
Kopitar shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Tavares
Home
55.3% (11,643)
56.1% (10,503)
Away
53.7% (11,651)
52.7% (10,537)
By Period
Kopitar
Tavares
P1
54.5%
55.0%
P2
54.9%
54.1%
P3
53.9%
54.1%
OT
59.2%
55.9%
Final 5 min
54.9%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
54.5%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 16:07 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 07:24 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 04:27 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 14:08 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 05:05 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 11:11 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 10:56 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 19:19 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 17:56 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 17:49 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 15:44 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 10:44 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 06:36 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 12:44 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 08:50 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 08:40 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 04:09 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 03:16 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |