Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Kopitar wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs Tavares 57.7% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 67.8%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 67.8%
Neutral zone
Tavares 61.0%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Kopitar
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Kopitar
Tavares
Last 10: Kopitar 7-3 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
3
Kopitar
Tavares
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
6
1
Kopitar
Tavares
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Kopitar
Tavares
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,114)
57.5% (914)
-1.1%
Power Play
60.1% (288)
60.5% (309)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (206)
59.1% (22)
-11.5%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Kopitar is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,025).
Kopitar shoots left. Tavares is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Tavares
Home
56.3% (783)
61.0% (661)
Away
55.5% (825)
55.3% (584)
By Period
Kopitar
Tavares
P1
57.9%
58.6%
P2
54.5%
57.8%
P3
55.2%
58.4%
OT
57.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
55.9%
63.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.9%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2022 | 2 | 15:38 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 1 | 12:06 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 1 | 09:19 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 18:27 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 16:53 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 14:56 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 13:18 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 08:05 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 04:49 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 02:11 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 16:58 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 10:38 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 16:46 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 00:50 | Neutral | John Tavares |