Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kopitar wins 58.5% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.8% vs Tavares 57.7% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 58.5%
Defensive zone
Tavares 50.3%
Neutral zone
Tavares 57.6%
Result
John Tavares favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Kopitar
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
10
(19 meetings)
9
10
Kopitar
Tavares
Last 10: Kopitar 5-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
6
3
Kopitar
Tavares
9 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Kopitar
Tavares
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
4
Kopitar
Tavares
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (1,085)
57.7% (998)
-0.8%
Power Play
68.8% (256)
60.5% (271)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (196)
56.4% (39)
-12.5%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Kopitar is 58.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
Kopitar shoots left. Tavares is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Tavares
Home
58.4% (774)
59.7% (610)
Away
56.0% (763)
57.0% (698)
By Period
Kopitar
Tavares
P1
59.4%
57.2%
P2
56.8%
58.5%
P3
55.9%
59.4%
OT
45.5%
46.7%
Final 5 min
54.9%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
57.2%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 19:19 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 17:56 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 17:49 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 15:44 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 10:44 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 06:36 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 12:44 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 08:50 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 08:40 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 04:09 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 03:16 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 12:56 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 08:02 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 03:08 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 3 | 16:15 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 1 | 03:17 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |