Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.4% vs Dowd 53.3% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 93.4%
Defensive zone
Dowd 64.1%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 61.2%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Kopitar
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Kopitar
Dowd
Last 10: Kopitar 7-3 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
3
0
Kopitar
Dowd
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
1
Kopitar
Dowd
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Kopitar
Dowd
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (1,070)
55.4% (771)
+2.2%
Power Play
60.6% (264)
57.1% (7)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (175)
45.5% (165)
+1.4%
On power play, Kopitar has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Kopitar is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (593).
Kopitar shoots left. Dowd is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Dowd
Home
57.2% (778)
58.2% (462)
Away
56.5% (731)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Kopitar
Dowd
P1
56.3%
55.6%
P2
57.1%
50.5%
P3
57.0%
53.9%
OT
59.5%
75.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
56.9%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2021 | 3 | 16:37 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 3 | 04:05 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 3 | 02:11 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 2 | 06:56 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 1 | 11:30 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 1 | 10:50 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 1 | 09:17 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 1 | 05:12 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |