Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kopitar wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs Dowd 50.7% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 96.5%
Defensive zone
Dowd 65.4%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 68.5%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 66.7%
66.7%
33.3%
Kopitar
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
3
(13 meetings)
10
3
Kopitar
Dowd
Last 10: Kopitar 7-3 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
4
0
Kopitar
Dowd
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kopitar
Dowd
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
4
1
Kopitar
Dowd
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,114)
55.2% (625)
+1.2%
Power Play
60.1% (288)
57.1% (7)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (206)
38.2% (220)
+9.4%
On penalty kill, Kopitar has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Kopitar is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (583).
Kopitar shoots left. Dowd is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Dowd
Home
56.3% (783)
53.7% (445)
Away
55.5% (825)
47.7% (407)
By Period
Kopitar
Dowd
P1
57.9%
48.8%
P2
54.5%
49.3%
P3
55.2%
54.0%
OT
57.6%
44.4%
Final 5 min
55.9%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.9%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2023 | 3 | 19:58 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 2 | 08:37 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 1 | 12:07 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 19:51 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 17:24 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 09:19 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 08:59 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 02:56 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 16:48 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 11:35 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 05:20 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |