Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Kopitar wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.8% vs Dowd 49.9% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 97.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 61.2%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 79.5%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 86.8%
86.8%
13.2%
Kopitar
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Kopitar
Dowd
Last 7: Kopitar 6-1 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
5
0
Kopitar
Dowd
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Kopitar
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
1
0
Kopitar
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (1,085)
52.2% (835)
+4.7%
Power Play
68.8% (256)
60.0% (10)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (196)
44.0% (350)
-0.1%
On power play, Kopitar has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Kopitar is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (508).
Kopitar shoots left. Dowd is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Dowd
Home
58.4% (774)
51.5% (619)
Away
56.0% (763)
48.1% (576)
By Period
Kopitar
Dowd
P1
59.4%
51.7%
P2
56.8%
51.6%
P3
55.9%
47.0%
OT
45.5%
22.2%
Final 5 min
54.9%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
57.2%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 15:45 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2 | 19:20 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2 | 11:12 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 09:59 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 2 | 03:53 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 1 | 12:15 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |